In recent months, Ukrainian forces have conducted over 160 strikes on oil refineries and other facilities deep inside Russia. The new Flamingo missile has already been used in real combat conditions at least nine times.
Ukraine warns this is only the beginning, as it prepares a new wave of strikes on Russia’s energy infrastructure, potentially triggering widespread blackouts across the country.
The Ukrainian military continues to demonstrate that no Russian rear is safe.
In this edition:
Ukraine’s Defence Export: Opportunities and Challenges;
Security Risks Drive Force Relocation — New TFUA Survey;
Ukraine’s Ruta and Flamingo Missiles;
Ukrainian Servicemen Should Start Training Other Armies;
and 20+ additional developments in Ukraine and Russia.
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Military Transfers to Ukraine
🇺🇸 CNN reported that the Pentagon has given the White House the green light to proceed with supplying Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk missiles after determining that doing so would not negatively affect U.S. stockpiles. The final political decision now rests with President Donald Trump, according to three U.S. and European officials familiar with the matter.
According to the report, the U.S. administration has drawn up plans to provide them to Ukraine quickly should Trump give the order. On Nov. 2, Trump stated that he is currently not considering supplying Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.
Zelensky said that he had shown U.S. officials the operations planned to be carried out using those missiles together with Storm Shadow, SCALP, and Ukrainian drones.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Zakharova said that the delivery of long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would constitute a “violation of President Donald Trump’s campaign promises” and that sending weapons to Ukraine would not help achieve any settlement.
Ukrainian aviation expert Konstiantyn Kryvolap warned that even if the Tomahawk transfer is approved, the delivery timeline is expected to be slow — “not before next spring”. He expressed hope that by then, Ukraine will be able to strike Russia using both cruise and ballistic missiles.
Currently, Ukraine’s immediate priority is missiles compatible with Patriot systems to counter Russian ballistic threats.
Additional developments:
🇩🇪 Ukraine has received Patriot systems from Germany. Zelensky announced this on November 2, stressing that the agreements with Germany have been fully implemented.
🇮🇹 Italy is readying a 12th military aid package for Ukraine, focusing on munitions and SAMP/T missiles for air defense systems. The package could be ready as soon as the end of the year, depending on parliamentary processes - Bloomberg reported.
🇳🇱 The Netherlands will allocate €10 million to the UK’s cybersecurity program for Ukraine. This contribution will help strengthen Ukraine’s cyber systems against constant attacks from Russia.
🇭🇷 Croatia allocated its 14th military aid package to Ukraine and is preparing a 15th by the end of 2025.
🇸🇪 Already in 2026, Ukraine expects to receive the first Gripen fighters, but these will be used JAS 39 C/D aircraft, likely up to 14 units.
The earlier reports of 100–150 Gripen refer to new JAS 39 E/F models — i.e., different variants of the same fighter - Defence Express reported. The deal is “a journey for 10 to 15 years” and does not include immediate deliveries.
The JAS 39 C/D, available in the short term, in some aspects will surpass Ukraine’s currently available used F-16s and Mirage 2000/F-5 thanks to the availability of the long-range Meteor air-to-air missile, with a target-kill range of 200 km.
Also, Ukraine and Sweden have agreed to localize the production of Gripen fighter jets on Ukrainian territory.
Zelensky said that Ukraine needs up to 250 new fighters to modernize the combat aviation of the Ukrainian Air Force. He said that three parallel negotiation tracks are currently underway regarding the possibility of obtaining combat aircraft. Three fighter types have been chosen to renew Ukraine’s combat aviation fleet: the F-16, Gripen, and Rafale. Ukraine is holding parallel negotiations with France regarding the supply of modern Dassault Rafale fighter jets. A source close to Dassault Aviation confirmed that discussions with Ukraine are taking place and the French manufacturer is reportedly “ready” for a possible request from Kyiv.
🇫🇷 According to the Parliamentary Report on Arms Exports, France provided Ukraine with more military assistance in 2024 than in 2022 and 2023 combined.
As of May 1, 2024, France had delivered equipment worth a total of €3.035 billion. Eight months later, the volume of support had reached €5.9 billion. In addition, France contributed €2.3 billion to the European Peace Facility, although €1.4 billion of that amount remains blocked due to Hungary’s veto.
Seventeen NATO partner states have committed to participating in the PURL initiative for the joint procurement of U.S. weapons, said Ukraine’s Minister of Defence. The total amount of contributions has reached $2.8 billion. The first four arms packages, worth over $2 billion, include air and missile defence systems and their missiles, GMLRS ammunition for HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems, and extended-range 155 mm artillery shells.
Zelensky said that Ukraine is not receiving air-to-air missiles with the necessary range. Work is currently underway with France to obtain MICA missiles, which have a range of 80 kilometres.
On November 4, a closed meeting of the Coalition of the Willing will take place in Madrid. According to reports, representatives from 35 countries are expected to participate in the meeting.
Ukraine’s Defence Export
President Zelensky instructed Ukraine’s Defense Ministry to launch the “controlled export” of Ukrainian weapons abroad beginning in November 2025.
It is already known what European countries would need most.